Victoria — political history baseline
Cain–Kirner and Labor collapse (1980s–1992)
Economic downturn and factional chaos → Kennett landslide. Legacy: Victorian Labor obsesses with unity and economic credibility.
Kennett revolution (1992–1999)
Aggressive privatisation and centralisation; defines Victorian Liberal identity for a generation.
Bracks–Brumby–Andrews (1999–2023)
Long Labor hegemony; Andrews era (2014–2023) consolidates Socialist Left influence; megaprojects (Metro Tunnel, Suburban Rail Loop) become political liabilities through cost blowouts.
Allan succession (2023–)
Post-Andrews transition; Nov 2026 election tests whether infrastructure fatigue breaks Labor hold.