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Victoria

Government

  • Premier: Jacinta Allan (post-Andrews)
  • Parliament: 88 LA + 40 LC
  • Majority: Labor

Opposition

  • Leader: John Pesutto (Liberal — party in structural difficulty)

Electoral context

  • Next election: Late 2026 (first Saturday, November — fixed)
  • Priority: High — nearest state election in matrix

Polling snapshot

Date Pollster ALP 2PP Coalition 2PP Notes
TBD

Key issues (state tier-1)

Federal implications

Victorian Labor Left dominance and infrastructure cost politics often preview federal Labor tensions. Liberal recovery or collapse here signals moderate vs hard-right federal dynamics.